University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

Metropolitan Area	Transport Risk
Dallas / Ft. Worth	Low
Austin	Low
San Antonio	Low

Date Issued: 10 December 2000

Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional weather: Sunday, December 10 - TX/OK/AR: Cold front moving southward through OK/AR today and tonight, progressing through TX on Monday. Partly to mostly cloudy today region-wide with highs in the 40's north to 70's south. Chance of light precipitation tonight northern sections, lows in the 20's to low 60's. Blustery and becoming colder from north to south on Monday as arctic air plunges southward behind the front.

Trajectory weather: Austin: Mostly cloudy today, high in the upper 60's. Cloudy tonight with a chance of showers, low in the 40's. Sharply colder on Monday with snow flurries. Temperatures falling through the day, reaching the upper 10's by evening. Junction/San Angelo: Partly cloudy with increasing clouds through the afternoon. High in the low 70's. Cloudy with a chance of light rain or drizzle tonight, low in the 30's. Cloudy, chance of light rain or snow on Monday, high in the 40's.

Trajectory confidence: High.

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** We are early in the release season with few cones ready to release. Temperatures are favorable but humidities are unfavorable over all but the far west/northwest sections of the Plateau. Winds are light to moderate. Little release expected, with any ill effects limited to residents of the western and northern edges of the Edwards Plateau. TK

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX

Austin, TX

Junction, TX

San Angelo, TX

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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