University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast
Date Issued: 11 December 2000
Mountain Cedar location(s): Ozark Mountains, AR/MO
Regional weather: Monday, December 11 - TX/OK/AR: A textbook Blue Norther is pushing through the Lone Star state today. A strong cold front now situated south of the Red River Valley and east of the Ozarks will continue to move vigorously through the south-central United States. Temperatures in the 50's and 60's will plummet during the afternoon; north of the front readings will hold or drop from the 20's. Partly to mostly cloudy region-wide today. Some light precipitation may occur in eastern sections, but the bulk of the winter weather will arrive tonight and Tuesday as an upper level disturbance moves into the region from the west. Highs today ranging from the 10's in parts of OK to near 80 in south TX. On Tuesday.... 10's and 20's north, 20's and 30's south with a few locales in the 40's.
Trajectory weather: Cloudy with a chance of rain or freezing rain today, high in the 30's. Chance of showers tonight with temperatures steady in the 30's. Cloudy Tuesday, high in the 40's.
Trajectory confidence: High
OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** Most cones are likely immature this early in the season. Conditions are very unfavorable for pollen release today. The situation is very similar to that in the Arbuckle Mountains of OK, with temperatures in the 20's and humidities in the 80's. Effects on residents near the source and elsewhere should be quite Low. TK
Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Oak Grove, AR
Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.
Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu
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