Pollen Forecast, 11 December 2000

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Metropolitan Area

Transport Risk

Oklahoma City

Low

Tulsa

Low

St. Louis

Low

Date Issued: 11 December 2000

Mountain Cedar location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK

Regional weather: Monday, December 11 - TX/OK/AR: A textbook Blue Norther is pushing through the Lone Star state today. A strong cold front now situated south of the Red River Valley and east of the Ozarks will continue to move vigorously through the south-central United States. Temperatures in the 50's and 60's will plummet during the afternoon; north of the front readings will hold or drop from the 20's. Partly to mostly cloudy region-wide today. Some light precipitation may occur in eastern sections, but the bulk of the winter weather will arrive tonight and Tuesday as an upper level disturbance moves into the region from the west. Highs today ranging from the 10's in parts of OK to near 80 in south TX. On Tuesday.... 10's and 20's north, 20's and 30's south with a few locales in the 40's.

Trajectory weather: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain/freezing rain today, high in the low 30's. Cloudy tonight with temperatures rising into the 40's after midnight. Chance of showers toward morning. Chance of showers Tuesday, high in the 50's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** Early in the season, though a few cones may be ready to release pollen. Conditions are very unfavorable for release. Temperatures and humidities are nowhere near the tolerance ranges, currently in the 20's and 80's respectively. Low Risk to any residents near the source or along the forecast pathway. TK

 Trajectory Start(s) (shown by black star on map): Sulfur, Oklahoma

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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