Pollen Forecast, 14 December 2000

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Metropolitan Area

Exposure Risk

Oklahoma City

Low

Tulsa

Low

St. Louis

Low

Date Issued: 14 December 2000

Mountain Cedar location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK

Regional weather: Thursday, December 14 - TX/OK/AR: Sunny western sections today, partly to mostly cloudy elsewhere. Chance of light precipitation tonight in parts of the north; chance of rain/showers tonight and Friday parts of southern and eastern TX. Light winds this afternoon most areas, turning to the south and increasing tonight as High pressure centered to the north moves eastward. Precipitation yesterday in the northern and eastern sections but little to none in much of central and western TX. Highs today ranging from the 30's north to 60's south; lows tonight from the 10's north to 50's south.

Trajectory weather: Partly cloudy today, high in the low 30's. Mostly cloudy tonight with a slight chance of light freezing rain, low near 20. Mostly cloudy with a chance of light snow during the afternoon on Friday, high in the low 30's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** Early in the season, though a few cones may be ready to release pollen. Conditions are very unfavorable for release today. Forecast highs are well below the favorable range and humidities show little to no drop from this morning's high values. Precipitation occurred yesterday also and winds are light. Very little to no pollen release expected, with few (if any) ill effects on the populace. TK

 Trajectory Start(s) (shown by black star on map): Sulfur, Oklahoma

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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