Pollen Forecast, 17 December 2000

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Metropolitan Area

Exposure Risk

Oklahoma City

Low

Tulsa

Low

St. Louis

Low

Date Issued: 17 December 2000

Mountain Cedar location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK

Regional weather: Sunday, December 17 - TX/OK/AR: High pressure area is centered right over the region. The center of the High will shift east as a low pressure/frontal system forms in the lee of the southern Rockies and heads towards OK/TX. Dry weather expected region-wide today with clear to partly cloudy skies. Highs today mostly 40's to 60's. Lows tonight mostly 20's to 40's.

Trajectory weather: Partly cloudy today and tonight, high in the low 40's, low in the 20's. Partly to mostly cloudy on Monday. Slight chance of rain/freezing rain around midday. High in the 40's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** Early in the season, though a few cones may be ready to release pollen. Conditions are unfavorable for release today. Temperatures won't reach the tolerance zones today. Humidities will also remain outside the tolerance area for most of the afternoon. Winds are fairly light. Very little release expected, if any. Exposure Risk is Low for residents of central OK. TK

 Trajectory Start(s) (shown by black star on map): Sulfur, Oklahoma

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.


Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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