University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

Date Issued: 18 December 2000

Mountain Cedar location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK

Regional weather: Monday, December 18 - TX/OK/AR: Cold front will push through the region during the day today. Windy conditions all areas with wind advisories in many locations. Other than some clouds and a chance of rain (or flurries) in parts of the north and east, frontal passage should be dry. Sunny to fair skies. Highs ranging from the upper 20's parts of OK to the 70's in deep south TX. Lows from the 10's north to 40's south. Cooler on Tuesday region-wide.

Trajectory weather: Cloudy through midday, then partly cloudy, high in the 50's. Clear tonight, low in the upper 30's. Sunny Tuesday, high in the 60's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** Early in the season, though a few cones may be ready to release pollen. Conditions are unfavorable for release today. Temperatures will barely creep into the favorable range for release. Humidities will drop into the favorable range for a few hours this afternoon. With the strong winds, some release is possible but it will probably not be significant. Low Risk of pollen transport. Residents of south-central OK and northeast TX are most likely to be affected. TK

 Trajectory Start(s) (shown by black star on map): Sulfur, Oklahoma

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.