Pollen Transport Forecast, 26 December 2000

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Metropolitan Area

Exposure Risk

Dallas / Ft. Worth

Low

Austin

Low

San Antonio

Low

Date Issued: 26 December 2000

Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional weather: Tuesday, December 26 - TX/OK/AR: Major winter storm in progress: The weather situation has evolved as expected in the south-central U.S. over the past several days. Precipitation in all forms, much of it heavy, fell yesterday in the region and continues unabated today. Snow, sleet, freezing rain, showers, and thunderstorms can be found. The system will affect the region again on Wednesday, then slowly move to the east as the day progresses. Highs from the 20's and 30's north to 50's and 60's south. Lows ranging from the 10's and 20's north to 40's south and east.

Trajectory weather: Rain with some thunderstorms possible today, high in the low 50's. Showers or thunderstorms likely tonight, low in the 40's. Cloudy with rain early, then rain ending and decreasing clouds late, high in the 50's.

Trajectory confidence: High.

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** Wholly unfavorable conditions for pollen release today. Precipitation fell yesterday and continues today. Temperatures will not approach favorableness. No pollen release expected today, with Low Risk of exposure. TK

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX

Austin, TX

Junction, TX

San Angelo, TX

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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