Pollen Transport Forecast, 28 December 2000

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Metropolitan Area

Exposure Risk

Dallas / Ft. Worth

Low

Austin

Low

San Antonio

Low

Date Issued: 28 December 2000

Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional weather: Thursday, December 28 - TX/OK/AR: Storm system finally moving east of the region. Sunny to partly cloudy south and west; mostly cloudy north and east with decreasing clouds as the day progresses. Widespread fog this morning in parts of the north east also. No precipitation expected today save for a chance of morning rain or flurries in the east. Generally light winds today. A weak and dry cold front will move southeastward through the region tonight and Friday so winds may pick up a bit later. Highs mostly from the 30's to 50's today. Lows tonight mostly in the 20's and 30's with some 10's Panhandle.

Trajectory weather: Mostly sunny today, high in the 50's. Clear tonight, low in the 30's. Sunny Friday, high in the upper 50's.

Trajectory confidence: High.

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** Mostly unfavorable conditions for pollen release today. Winds are generally light Plateau-wide. Temperatures and/or humidities are unfavorable today across the northern 2/3 of the Plateau. In the southern sections, however, temperatures will reach the 50's this afternoon and humidities are falling into or approaching the favorable range at midday. Any pollen release today will occur from the southern extent of the Plateau. Amounts shouldn't be significant, with Low Risk of exposure. TK

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX

Austin, TX

Junction, TX

San Angelo, TX

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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