|
Metropolitan Area |
Exposure Risk |
|
Dallas / Ft. Worth |
Low |
|
Austin |
Low to Moderate |
|
San Antonio |
Low to Moderate |
Date Issued: 29 December 2000
Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas
Regional weather: Friday - Sunday, December 29-31 - TX/OK/AR: High pressure in control of the weather today and Saturday. By Sunday, a disturbance will move into the region from the west. Winds, moderate on Friday and mostly light on Saturday, will be turning to the south and southeast, increasing the moisture inflow into the region. Chance of snow or rain for many areas. Highs mostly in the 30's to 50's each day with some 20's and 60's at the northern and southern edges. Lows mostly in the 10's to the 30's.
Trajectory weather: Mostly clear today and tonight. High in the mid-40's west to low 50's south-central. Low tonight in the 10's west to near 30 Rio Grande plains. Sunny to partly cloudy Saturday, high in the low 40's south plains to low 50's northern Mexico.
Trajectory confidence: High.
OUTLOOK: *** Low to Moderate Threat *** Mostly unfavorable conditions for pollen release today. In most areas of the Plateau, temperatures will struggle to reach the tolerance range and humidities will remain high or be borderline favorable. The far southern sections will have highs in the low 50's and humidities will be favorable during the afternoon; some release is possible from that area. Overall.... the Risk of exposure is Low. Residents of south-central TX or the hill country are the most likely to feel any ill effects. TK
Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX
Austin, TX
Junction, TX
San Angelo, TX
Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.
Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu
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