The University of Tulsa, Aerobiology Lab, Pollen Forecast

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 06 December 2002

Mountain Cedar location(s): Ozark Mountains, AR/MO

Regional weather: Friday, December 6 TX/OK/AR: Sunny conditions will prevail across the southern Edwards Plateau with warming and drying conditions today and tomorrow. Winds will be light to moderate from the south to southwest throughout today and into Saturday.  Southeast winds will develop on Saturday along the southern edge of the Edwards Plateau bringing higher humidity into San Antonio and Austin resulting in partly to mostly cloudy conditions Saturday afternoon.  To the north, in Oklahoma and the Ozark Mountains, winds will be light to moderate from the southwest increasing to moderate overnight and into Saturday.  High temperatures across the Edwards Plateau and Hill Country will reach the low to mid 50s today and into the mid to upper 50s tomorrow.  Lows overnight on Friday will be in the upper 30s to low 40s across the region.  To the north temperatures will be similar with highs today in the mid to upper 40 s and low50 s on Saturday.  Low temperatures will be in the 30s tonight. Throughout the entire region sunny skies will prevail today and tonight with increasing humidity and partly cloudy skies on Saturday.               

Trajectory weather:  The air mass trajectories from the Ozark Mountains moves to the northeast over Missouri and Illinois. Mostly sunny skies today will remain clear overnight but see increasing clouds tomorrow.  Cold air remains in the Ozark Mountain region today and tomorrow with high temperatures in the 40s.  Light to moderate winds from the southwest will increase to moderate overnight and on Saturday

OUTLOOK: ***Low threat today *** unfavorable conditions for pollen release today. Conditions in the Ozark Mountains are unfavorable for pollen release today with low temperatures.  In addition, field informants indicate that the trees have yet to begin their pollination season.  Therefore a low threat with unfavorable conditions is forecast for today and tomorrow. 

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by black star on map): Oak Grove, AR

Prepared by: Peter K.Van de Water(Department of Geosciences, Oregon State University), and Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104).  This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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