The University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast
Metropolitan Area |
Exposure Risk |
Dallas/Fort Worth |
Moderate |
Austin |
Moderate to High |
San Antonio |
Moderate to High |
Date Issued: 15 December 2004
Mountain Cedar Location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas
Regional Weather: Wed and Thurs, Dec 15 and 16. TX/OK:
Sunny to partly cloudy skies and southerly winds will help warm temperatures from yesterday. Temperatures throughout
the region will range from the upper 40s in the north to the mid-50s in the south with night time lows near freezing.
Clouds will increase tonight and remain across the region tomorrow but chances of rain are low. Temperatures tomorrow
will be a few degrees warmer than today but winds will shift back to the north during the day. Skies will clear
on Friday with temperatures remaining in the 50s.
Trajectory weather: Air mass trajectories from the eastern
side of the plateau move to the north and then turn east across Oklahoma into Arkansas. Trajectories from the western
side of the plateau move to the north and then curve back to the south late tonight. Temperatures
at the source were low this morning hindering pollen release. Release is more likely this afternoon with warming
temperatures and good conditions for transport. Trajectories tomorrow show movement to the south as winds from
the north return to the area.
OUTLOOK: *** Moderate to High Threat
*** Good conditions for
pollen release this afternoon. Sunny dry conditions will occur today, but cold morning temperatures
and early seasonal time should reduce amount of pollen release making for mixed to good conditions
for release. Cold temperatures occur again tonight and a slight warming is
expected tomorrow. Overall threat is moderate to high for the Edwards Plateau area and moderate downwind.
Trajectory Start (s) (shown by *
on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX.
AUSTIN
JUNCTION
SAN ANGELO
Prepared by: Estelle
Levetin (Faculty of Biological
Science, The University
of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released
Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time
of arrival for various metropolitan areas.
Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu
Return to Forecasting Home Page