The University of Tulsa

Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 13 December 2006

Mountain Cedar Location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional Weather: Wed and Thurs, Dec 13 and 14. TX/OK: Clear to partly cloudy conditions across the region with low to moderate southerly winds. Humidity is low across the region. Conditions will remain dry over the next few days and temperatures will remain above normal with mid to upper 60s in Oklahoma and mid 70s in Texas today and tomorrow. Night time lows will be in the upper 30s to mid 40s tonight. Thursday night's lows will range from the low 40s in the north to the low 50s in the south.

Trajectory weather: The air mass trajectories from the Edwards Plateau Texas move to the northeast. The trajectories generally show good characteristics for entrainment and travel. Conditions at the source are good for pollen release but this is the beginning of the season and most pollen cones are not open yet. Thursday's trajectories begin moving northeast and then shift north.

OUTLOOK: *** Low to moderate threat *** Conditions are good for pollen release today and better on Thursday; however, we are at the beginning of the pollen season. Concentrations near the source populations may be somewhat elevated but most areas will have only low to moderate levels.

Trajectory Start (s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX.

AUSTIN

JUNCTION

SAN ANGELO

Prepared by: Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

 

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

 

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