The University of Tulsa

Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

Metropolitan Area

Exposure Risk

Oklahoma City

Low to Moderate

Tulsa

Low to Moderate

St. Louis MO

Low

 

Date Issued: 15 Dec 2006


Mountain Cedar Location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK


Regional Weather: Fri and Sat, Dec 15 and 16. TX/OK: Clear to partly cloudy conditions continue across the region with moderate southerly winds. Humidity remains low across the region. Conditions will remain dry today and tomorrow, and temperatures will remain well above normal with daytime highs in the 70s. Night time lows will be in the mid 40s to low 60s. There is a chance of some rain Sunday night and Monday and much cooler temperatures next week as a strong frontal system approaches.

 

Trajectory weather: The air mass trajectories today and Saturday move from the Arbuckle Mountains to the north, northeast. The trajectories show reasonably good characteristics for entrainment and travel. If Arbuckle populations are releasing pollen, we may see some in northeast Oklahoma today and tomorrow but concentration will likely be low to moderate. However it is still early in the season.


OUTLOOK: *** Low to Moderate threat *** Conditions are good for pollen release today and Saturday; however, we are at the beginning of the pollen season. Concentrations near the source population may be somewhat elevated.


Trajectory Start (s) (shown by black star on map): Sulfur, OK.



Prepared by: Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

 

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

 

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