The University of Tulsa

Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

Metropolitan Area

Exposure Risk

Dallas/Fort Worth

Moderate

Austin

Moderate to High

San Antonio

Moderate

 

Date Issued: 15 December 2006


Mountain Cedar Location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas


Regional Weather: Fri and Sat, Dec 15 and 16. TX/OK: Clear to partly cloudy conditions continue across the region with moderate southerly winds. Humidity remains low across the region. Conditions will remain dry today and tomorrow, and temperatures will remain well above normal with daytime highs in the 70s. Night time lows will be in the mid 40s to low 60s. There is a chance of some rain Sunday night and Monday with much cooler temperatures next week as a strong frontal system approaches.


Trajectory weather: The air mass trajectories today and Saturday move from the Edwards Plateau to the north, northeast. The trajectories show reasonably good characteristics for entrainment and travel. Conditions at the source are good for pollen release today and tomorrow although it is still early in the season.


OUTLOOK: *** Moderate to High Threat *** Conditions are good for pollen release today and Saturday; however, we are at the beginning of the pollen season. Concentrations near mountain cedar populations are likely to be high but only moderate down wind.


Trajectory Start (s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX.


AUSTIN



JUNCTION



SAN ANGELO




Prepared by: Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

 

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

 

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