The University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast
Metropolitan Area |
Exposure Risk |
Oklahoma City |
High/Low to Moderate |
Tulsa |
Moderate/Low |
St. Louis MO |
Low |
Date Issued: 28 Dec 2006
Mountain Cedar Location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK
Regional Weather: Thursday and Friday, Dec 28 and 29.
TX/OK: Partly to mostly cloudy skies and mild temperatures and southeast winds throughout the region today
and tomorrow. Day time highs Thursday and Friday will be in the 50s in Oklahoma and 60s in Texas. Night time lows
will stay mild with the cold cover dropping into the low to mid 50s. Chances of rain will be increasing through
Friday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely on Friday throughout the region with significant accumulation
possible in some areas.
Trajectory weather: The air mass
trajectories move from the Arbuckle Mountains to the northwest over central and western Oklahoma with strong southeast
winds. The trajectories show good characteristics for entrainment and travel of pollen. Conditions at the source
are mild and significant pollen release is possible. Friday's trajectories continue to move to the northwest. Rain
is likely at the source areas in the Arbuckle Mountains tomorrow thereby reducing the chances of pollen release;
however, pollen release may occur in areas without rain.
OUTLOOK: *** High Threat today/Low to Moderate on Friday *** Favorable conditions for pollen release today/mostly unfavorable tomorrow. Significant pollen
release likely today. Rain and thunderstorms are possible tomorrow throughout the region resulting in a low threat.
As always, pollen release is possible tomorrow in areas without rainfall.
Trajectory Start (s) (shown by black
star on map): Sulfur, OK.
Prepared by: Estelle
Levetin (Faculty of Biological
Science, The University
of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released
Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time
of arrival for various metropolitan areas.
Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu
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