The University of Tulsa

Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 15 December 2014

Mountain Cedar Location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK

Regional Weather: Monday, December 15 – TX/OK: Across the region today the weather will be seasonal with mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies.  Temperatures today are mild with highs ranging from the upper 40s to the 70s.  Temperatures across the Edwards Plateau will be in the upper 60s to low 70s. Temperatures in the remaining areas will reach into the low 60s in Texas and upper 40s and 50s in Oklahoma.  Wind direction today will be variable across the region with moderate to strong gusts in Oklahoma and low to moderate winds across Texas. Tonight, mostly clear skies will remain across the region.  Lows will be in the 30s in Oklahoma and the 40s in Texas. Tomorrow temperatures will be about 10 degrees cooler across the region with clear skies and winds shifting.

Trajectory weather: Air mass trajectories from the Arbuckle Mountains move to the east into Arkansas and Mississippi over the next 48 hours. At the source area today, temperatures will be mild in the 50s with moderate gusty winds. Overnight temperatures will be in the 30s. Tomorrow temperatures will be warming into the 40’s. Winds will start from the northwest and later tomorrow night shift back around southwesterly winds.

OUTLOOK: *** Low to Moderate Threat Today and Low Threat Tomorrow *** Fair to good condition for pollen release today and tomorrow.  However it is early in the pollen season and most pollen cones on trees in the Arbuckles Mountain region are still closed. Tomorrow, conditions will be about 10 degrees colder.

Trajectory Start (s) (shown by black star on map): Davis, OK

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Prepared by: Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 800 S. Tucker Dr., Tulsa, OK 74104) and Peter K Van de Water (Department of Earth and Environmental Science, California State University Fresno, 2576 East San Ramon Avenue, M/S ST24, Fresno CA 93740-8039). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

 

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu