Pollen Transport Forecast, 11 December 1998

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 11 December 1998

Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional weather: Friday, December 11 - TX/OK: Slow-moving low pressure system still bringing rain and snow to much of TX and southern OK. Cold today with highs in the 30's and 40's.On Saturday....clearing from west to east with a slight chance of rain in OK. Warmer with highs in the upper 40's and 50's. Fair and dry by Sunday, highs in the 60's.

Trajectory weather: Cloudy with rain/sleet east and snow west, high around 40. Chance of rain/sleet tonight, low near 30 inland, near 40 Austin trajectory. Cloudy with a slight chance of rain in deep south Texas on Saturday, high in the 50's.

Trajectory confidence: High

POLLEN OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat....Moderate by Sunday *** Conditions unfavorable for pollen release. Pollen levels are rising, but the recent wet weather will hinder release today and Saturday. Low Risk of transport Friday and Saturday. For Sunday, conditions will be somewhat favorable for pollen release as temperatures rise and some drying takes place. Trajectories are moving to the south, then turning to the north. Moderate Risk of pollen transport to areas of south-central Texas on Sunday, west-central Texas on Monday from this region. TK

 

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by green dot on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX

Austin, TX

Junction, TX

San Angelo, TX

Prepared b: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.