University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 11 December 1998

Mountain Cedar location: Arbuckle Mountains, OK

 

Regional weather: Friday, December 11 - TX/OK: Slow-moving low pressure system still bringing rain and snow to much of TX and southern OK. Cold today with highs in the 30's and 40's.On Saturday....clearing from west to east with a slight chance of rain in OK. Warmer with highs in the upper 40's and 50's. Fair and dry by Sunday, highs in the 60's.

Trajectory weather: Mostly cloudy with a good chance of rain, high in the 40's. Rain likely tonight, low in the 30's. Mostly cloudy on Saturday with a chance of morning showers, high in the 50's.

Trajectory confidence: High

POLLEN OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat....possibly Moderate on Sunday *** Pollen counts are rising but conditions are unfavorable for pollen release today and Saturday. Low Risk of pollen transport both days. If enough drying takes place on Saturday, there may be some pollen release on Sunday. Temperatures will also be in the favorable range. Winds will likely be weak on Sunday with any airborne pollen drifting around the source region through early Monday evening. Weakly Moderate Risk of pollen transport on Sunday. People living along the Oklahoma/Texas border are most likely to be affected. TK

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by green dot on map): Sulfur, Oklahoma

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 5695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.