Date Issued: 17 December 1998
Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas
Regional weather: Thursday, December 17 - TX/OK: High pressure will keep conditions partly cloudy and dry today. Increasing clouds tonight western and southern sections as an upper-level disturbance moves into the region from the west. Cloudy and cool with a chance of rain in Texas on Friday while Oklahoma will remain mostly dry.
Trajectory weather: Mostly sunny today, high in the 60's. Fair tonight, lows in the upper 30's. Partly cloudy to mostly sunny on Friday, high in the upper 50's.
Trajectory confidence: High
OUTLOOK: *** Significant Threat *** Conditions are favorable for pollen release during the afternoon hours. Most of the pollen release should occur from the areas near Austin and Junction as the humidities there are the most favorable. Western and central sections of North Texas will be afftected today and tonight, including the cities of Abilene, Wichita Falls, and possibly Ft. Worth. Airborne pollen will be approaching areas of southern and central Oklahoma by morning. Residents of Lawton....Duncan...and Oklahoma City may be affected. Pollen will be moving through areas of north-central and northeast Oklahoma, southeast Kansas, and southwest Missouri during the midday and afternoon hours on Friday. People in the towns of Enid, OK.....Tulsa, OK.....Wichita, KN... Springfield, MO, and nearby locales may feel the effects. Allergy sufferers in eastern OK and southeast KN take note: A double dose of pollen appears likely for your area. Airborne pollen from mountain cedar trees in the Arbuckle Mountains will be passing through the region Thursday afternoon and evening, followed by the pollen released from these Edwards Plateau sources. Please take any necessary precautions. TK
Trajectory Start(s) (shown by green dot on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX
Austin, TX
Junction, TX
San Angelo, TX
Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.