University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 7 December 1998

Mountain Cedar location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by green dot on map): Sulfur, Oklahoma

Regional weather: Monday, December 7 - TX/OK: Complex frontal system coming out of the Rockies is moving through the region. Frontal boundary now positioned from northeast to southwest along a line from the TX/AR border to the Big Bend area. Cold with drizzle or snow to the north and west behind the front; warm, possibly showery weather to the south and east. Wide temperature range....expected highs in the 30's and 40's OK and west TX, 60's and 70's to the south. Cloudy and humid most areas. Clearing tonight and Tuesday. Cold tonight with lows in the 20's north and west, 30's and 40's south and east. Warmer Tuesday.

Trajectory weather: Cloudy with widely scattered light showers today, high in the 40's. Mostly cloudy tonight with a chance of showers, temperatures holding in the 40's. Becoming partly sunny on Tuesday, high in the 50's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** Conditions are unfavorable for pollen release. Humidities are high, temperatures are too cool and there's a chance of rain. In addition, it is early in the pollen season and fews cones are ready to release pollen. Little if any pollen release expected. Low risk of pollen transport to any areas south of the source. TK, EL

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.