Pollen Transport Forecast, 11 December 1999

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 11 December 1999

Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional weather: Saturday, December 11 - TX/OK: Low pressure system developing along the Texas/Mexico border will strengthen and move eastward during the next few days. Clouds today over most of the region with rain in parts of OK, AR, and Texas. Rain coverage will spread tonight and continue into Sunday as the system progresses. Some western sections of TX/OK will remain dry. Highs today ranging from 40's northwest to 60's southeast. Lows tonight 20's northwest to 50's southeast. Highs Sunday in the 30's northwest to the 60's southeast. Next weather system will approach the region by Tuesday.

Trajectory weather: Mostly cloudy today with a chance of showers for eastern sections of the plateau. High in the 60's. Good chance of rain tonight with possible thunderstorms, low in the 40's. Rain on Sunday with possible thunderstorms, highs all trajectories in the 50's.

Trajectory confidence: High.

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** Unfavorable conditions for pollen release today and Sunday. Many cones are immature. Though temperatures are in the tolerance range this afternoon, humidity is high over most of the Plateau with some light rain in the eastern sections. Very little release expected. Conditions will be similar or even more unfavorable on Sunday. TK

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX

Austin, TX

Junction, TX

San Angelo, TX

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.


Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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