Pollen Transport Forecast, 26 December 1999

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 26 December 1999

Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional weather: Sunday, December 26 - TX/OK: High pressure centered in the Rockies is still the dominant influence for the region. Tail end of one cold front will pass through the northern sections today, but no rain expected there. Flow around the High will continue to cause the generation of clouds for parts of western and southern Texas with a slight chance of rain in some spots. Dry otherwise with mild daytime temperatures. Highs in the 50's and 60's today and Monday with some 40's in parts of the northern sections Monday. Lows tonight ranging from the 20's north to 40's south.

Trajectory weather: Cloudy with a slight chance of rain today and tonight for south-central TX areas, high near 60, low in the 40's. Partly cloudy Monday, high in the 60's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Moderate Threat *** Some pollen release expected. Conditions are mostly favorable today. Temperatures are well into the tolerance zone and humidities are following suit by 12 noon. Winds are fairly weak and all trajectories move to the southeast. Residents of the Edward's Plateau....south-central.... and southeast Texas may feel some ill effects through the day on Monday. TK

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX

Austin, TX

Junction, TX

San Angelo, TX

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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