Pollen Transport Forecast, 1 January 2000

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 1 January 2000

Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional weather: Saturday, January 1 - TX/OK: Some clouds and fog/drizzle parts of southern TX. A few high clouds in western TX. Otherwise, fair to sunny skies. A low pressure / frontal system is developing and moving east out of the central Rockies. This first Low will scoot to the northeast, dragging its cold front behind it. Another Low will form along the front and may bring some clouds and rain to eastern sections of this region by late Sunday or Monday. Until then.... mostly dry and warm. Highs in the 60's and 70's today and Sunday with a few 50's northwest sections on Sunday. Lows in the 30's north and west to 50's east and south.

Trajectory weather: Partly cloudy today, high in the 70's. Increasing cloudiness tonight, slight chance of rain for MO, low in the 40's. Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain Sunday, high in the 50's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Serious Threat *** Variable conditions for pollen release today. The weather is very favorable for western and northern sections of the Plateau but mixed for eastern and southern sections (temperatures are favorable but moisture conditions are not). Winds are pretty strong all across the Plateau region. Significant release expected west and north; moderate release expected east and south. Trajectories are moving along virtually the same pathways. Residents of north-central TX.... central and northeast OK.... and central MO are most likely to feel any ill effects from today's release. TK

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX

Austin, TX

Junction, TX

San Angelo, TX

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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