Date Issued: 16 January 2000
Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas
Regional weather: Sunday, January 16 - TX/OK: Cold front is approaching the region from the north. It will stall out near the OK/KS and AR/MO borders tonight, moving back to the north as a warm front by Monday morning. Moisture values are up over the region.... and there will be late night / morning clouds some areas, especially near the front. Chance of light rain in parts of eastern OK and AR tonight or Monday. Windy some sections. Highs today in the 60's to 80's. Lows tonight from the 30's to the 60's. Highs Monday in the 50's to the 80's.
Trajectory weather: Partly cloudy this afternoon, high in the 70's. Becoming mostly cloudy after midnight with a slight chance of light rain Austin trajectory in southeast OK. Low in the 50's north TX.... 40's OK. Partly cloudy Monday most of OK, high in the 60's. Variably to mostly cloudy northeast OK and MO, chance of rain, high near 50.
Trajectory confidence: High
OUTLOOK: *** Moderate Threat *** Pollen Update 10 Jan: Bill Durbon and his observers in Junction report that "pollen is starting to pop all over the place". 12 Jan: Additional reports from other areas of Texas indicate increased pollen release for many areas *** Conditions are mixed, mostly favorable for pollen release. Temperatures and winds support pollen release today. However, humidities remain well above the tolerance ranges at 12 noon, though they are dropping. Some release expected. Residents of central and north-central TX and south-central OK are most likely to feel any ill effects from today's release. TK
Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX
Austin, TX
Junction, TX
San Angelo, TX
Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.
Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu
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