Date Issued: 17 January 2000
Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas
Regional weather: Monday, January 17 - TX/OK: Stalled front wavering around across OK today. Late night / morning low clouds and fog in many areas giving way to partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions in many areas this afternoon. Some locales will remain cloudy. Plenty of moisture in the region, which is causing the cloudiness and fog. However, only drizzle or light rain is possible through Tuesday, mainly for the northern sections. Most areas will remain dry. Temperatures will be very warm. Highs in the 50's to 80's both today and Tuesday. Overnight lows ranging from the 30's to near 60. Some northern sections will be cooler on Tuesday as high pressure begins building in from the north on Tuesday.
Trajectory weather: Austin: Becoming partly cloudy this afternoon with a high in the upper 70's. Becoming cloudy tonight with a chance of rain late, low in the upper 30's. Cloudy with a chance of rain early on Tuesday, high near 50. Junction / San Angelo: Becoming mostly sunny this afternoon, high in the upper 70's. Partly to mostly cloudy tonight, low in the 50's. Morning low clouds on Tuesday, becoming partly cloudy, high in the 70's.
Trajectory confidence: High
OUTLOOK: *** Moderate Threat *** Pollen Update 10 Jan: Bill Durbon and his observers in Junction report that "pollen is starting to pop all over the place". 12 Jan: Additional reports from other areas of Texas indicate increased pollen release for many areas *** Conditions are mixed for pollen release. Temperatures are favorable much of the day. Humidities have remained high through the morning but should drop during the afternoon as the sunshine burns off the low clouds. Some release expected, tending toward the low side of Moderate. Residents of central and northern TX.... and perhaps southeast OK.... are most likely to sense any ill effects from today's release. TK
Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX
Austin, TX
Junction, TX
San Angelo, TX
Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.
Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu
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