Pollen Transport Forecast, 19 January 2000

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 19 January 2000

Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional weather: Wednesday, January 19 - TX/OK: Low pressure area and cold front forming in eastern sections and moving east today won't affect the weather much. Second, stronger cold front will be blasting into the region from the north, moving into southern TX by sometime tonight. After record highs in the 80's today for some TX locations with mostly 60's and 70's in the north, Thursday's highs will range from the 30's in OK to 70's south TX. Lows tonight ranging from the 20's north to 50's south. Other than some morning clouds in parts of TX..... and persistent clouds in eastern OK and AR..... clear to partly cloudy skies will prevail. Dry except for a chance of drizzle for parts of OK and AR.

Trajectory weather: Mostly sunny by afternoon with a high in the 80's. Fair tonight with patchy fog toward the coast, low in the 50's. Partly cloudy Thursday, high in the 70's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Serious Threat *** Pollen Update 10 Jan: Bill Durbon and his observers in Junction report that "pollen is starting to pop all over the place". 12 Jan: Additional reports from other areas of Texas indicate increased pollen release for many areas *** Conditions are favorable for pollen release. Temperatures are favorable and humidities are dropping into the favorable range at late morning and midday. Conditions are particularly favorable toward the western sections of the Plateau. Strong release expected.... especially in the western sections. Residents of a broad area of central and southern TX may feel some ill effects from today's release today or Thursday. TK

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX

Austin, TX

Junction, TX

San Angelo, TX

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

Return to Forecasting Home Page