Pollen Transport Forecast, 29 January 2000

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 29 January 2000

Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional weather: Saturday, January 29 - TX/OK: High pressure in control of the weather through Monday. Leftover moisture and clouds many areas today. Partly cloudy skies most areas on Sunday with increasing clouds on Monday. Warming trend during the next few days. Chance of rain some areas on Monday. Highs today mostly 30's and 50's, ranging from 30's north to 50's south Sunday and Monday. Lows ranging from the 10's north to 30's/40's south tonight and Sunday night.

Trajectory weather: Mostly cloudy east to mostly sunny west, highs in the 40's. Cloudy tonight in the south, low in the 30's. Mostly clear elsewhere, low around 20. On Sunday.... cloudy south TX, partly cloudy west TX. High in the 40's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** Forecast Notes: More severe winter weather is expected at your forecaster's location on Sunday. It's very doubtful that new forecasts will be available on Monday. New forecasts should be available on Tuesday, February 1st. *** Pollen release will be very limited for the next three days, as conditions remain unfavorable to mostly unfavorable. Temperature and moisture conditions are unfavorable today. Some warming will occur Sunday and Monday, but conditions will be favorable for only a few hours each afternoon. In addition, moisture levels will increase as Monday approaches, so any pollen release that occurs will most likely be from western sections of the Edwards Plateau. Since airborne amounts will be small, only residents of west-central TX may be affected by release events Sunday and Monday. TK

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX

Austin, TX

Junction, TX

San Angelo, TX

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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