Pollen Transport Forecast, 3 February 2000

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 3 February 2000

Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional weather: Thursday, February 3 - TX/OK: Other than some late-night / morning fog in some areas, clear to partly cloudy today and Friday. Cold front is moving through the region today with only some clouds; no precipitation expected. High pressure building in behind it. Highs mostly in the 50's and 60's today. Lows tonight ranging from the 20's to 40's. Cooler on Friday behind the front, especially in the northern sections, highs in the 40's to 60's.

Trajectory weather: Mostly sunny today, high in the 60's. Clear tonight, lows in the upper 30's to low 40's. Fair on Friday, high in the 60's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Mild to Moderate Threat *** Mixed conditions across the Plateau with increasing favorability from east to west. Temperatures are favorable Plateau-wide. Humidities are higher in the east, lower in the west, but all sections should be in the favorable range by afternoon. Some very light rain fell on parts of the southern Plateau yesterday..... and given the other factors, most pollen release will be from northern and/or western sections today. Residents of a broad area of south-central and southern TX may be affected today or tonight. TK

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX

Austin, TX

Junction, TX

San Angelo, TX

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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