Pollen Transport Forecast, 4 February 2000

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 4 February 2000

Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional weather: Friday/Saturday, February 4/5 - TX/OK: Clear to partly cloudy through Saturday region-wide, and dry. Some cloudiness may work into parts of west TX Saturday. Windy today many areas with the High governing the weather situated to the north. Highs both days ranging from the 40's to 60's, lows tonight from the 20's to 40's.

Trajectory weather: Clear to partly cloudy through the period. High today from 50-60. Lows tonight from the 30's west to low 40's south. Highs Saturday in the upper 50's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Mild to Moderate Threat *** Mostly favorable conditions for pollen release. Temperatures will reach the favorable range by late morning and will stay in the 50's. Humidities are quite favorable within the dry air mass over the region. Breezy to windy conditions will aid release. However, we are near the end of the mountain cedar season, so symptoms should be mild. Residents of the TX hill country... Edwards Plateau... Big Bend region.... far west TX... and perhaps the TX Panhandle may feel some ill effects from today's release. TK

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX

Austin, TX

Junction, TX

San Angelo, TX

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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