Pollen Transport Forecast, 7 February 2000

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 7 February 2000

Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional weather: Monday, February 7 - TX/OK: Cloudy in southern and eastern TX. Combination of weak surface front and upper-level disturbance moving through TX giving rise to some showers in southeast TX. Otherwise clear to partly cloudy and dry. Highs today and Tuesday ranging from the 50's to 70's, lows tonight mostly in the 20's to 40's.

Trajectory weather: Mostly sunny west.... mostly cloudy east with decreasing clouds during the afternoon. Highs near 70. Fair tonight, lows in the low 30's west to low 40's Austin trajectory. Sunny on Tuesday, high in the 70's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low to Mild Threat *** We are nearing the end of the pollen season, so there is little pollen available for release. Mostly favorable conditions western Plateau, mostly unfavorable eastern Plateau. Humidities are running too high for parts of the central and eastern Plateau but have dropped significantly in the western areas. Temperature are favorable. Some light release possible in the west..... potentially affecting residents of the western Edwards Plateau and the eastern Big Bend areas. TK

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX

Austin, TX

Junction, TX

San Angelo, TX

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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