Pollen Transport Forecast, 10 February 2000

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 10 February 2000

Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional weather: Thursday, February 10 - TX/OK: First low pressure area is moving off to the east. A cold front is pushing southward into the region in its wake. Some morning clouds/fog, otherwise partly cloudy, breezy, and unseasonably warm most areas today and Friday. Some cooling in the northern sections on Friday and there's a chance of rain for parts of OK, AR, and northern TX; however, most locales will be dry. Highs today in the 60's north to 80's south. Lows tonight from the 30's to 60's. Highs tomorrow ranging from the 40's to the 80's.

Trajectory weather: Partly cloudy this afternoon, high near 80. Partly cloudy tonight, slight chance of a shower late near the ArkLaTex, low in the upper 50's. Partly cloudy and warm with a good chance of rain in northern LA on Friday, high in the 70's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low to Mild Threat *** We are nearing the end of the pollen season, so there is little pollen available for release. Temperatures are very favorable over the Plateau. At midday.... humidities remain high in the east but very low and quite favorable in the west. Winds are moderate to strong. Some light release is likely from the western sections; little to no release from the eastern areas. Residents of central TX..... due east to the LA border.... are most likely to be affected. TK

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX

Austin, TX

Junction, TX

San Angelo, TX

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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