Pollen Transport Forecast, 6 January 2001

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Metropolitan Area

Exposure Risk

Dallas / Ft. Worth

High

Austin

High

San Antonio

High

Date Issued: 6 January 2001

Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional weather: Saturday/Sunday, January 6/7 - TX/OK/AR: Clear to partly cloudy today with no rain expected except far west TX. Warm today with highs in the 50's north to 70's south. Winds are light to moderate. A frontal system will be forming over the region tonight. Lows tonight in the 20's and 30's north and west to the 40's and 50's south and east. By Sunday.... most areas will be mostly cloudy, with a chance of rain mainly in southern and eastern TX. Cooler with highs in the 40's north to 60's south. Breezy to windy on Sunday.

Trajectory weather: Partly cloudy today, high in the low 70's. Becoming mostly cloudy tonight with a slight chance of rain central TX. Lows in the upper 30's northeast TX to low 40's central TX. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers on Sunday, high in the upper 50's to low 60's.

Trajectory confidence: High.

OUTLOOK: *** Serious Threat *** Favorable conditions for pollen release. Temperatures and humidities will be favorable across the Plateau by late morning. Winds vary and are generally moderate, with stronger gusts in some locations. Significant release is likely today. There is HIGH RISK of exposure for a broad area of central TX today, and central and northeast TX tonight. There is Moderate Risk for eastern and southeastern sections on Sunday. This includes the metropolitan areas of San Antonio, Austin, and Dallas / Ft.Worth today and tonight.... and the Houston area on Sunday. TK

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX

Austin, TX

Junction, TX

San Angelo, TX

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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