Pollen Forecast, 6 January 2001

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Metropolitan Area

Exposure Risk

Oklahoma City

High

Tulsa

Moderate / High

St. Louis

Moderate

Date Issued: 6 January 2001

Mountain Cedar location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK

Regional weather: Saturday/Sunday, January 6/7 - TX/OK/AR: Clear to partly cloudy today with no rain expected except far west TX. Warm today with highs in the 50's north to 70's south. Winds are light to moderate. A frontal system will be forming over the region tonight. Lows tonight in the 20's and 30's north and west to the 40's and 50's south and east. By Sunday.... most areas will be mostly cloudy, with a chance of rain mainly in southern and eastern TX. Cooler with highs in the 40's north to 60's south. Breezy to windy on Sunday.

Trajectory weather: Mostly sunny today, high in the low 60's. Partly cloudy tonight, low near 30. Partly to variably cloudy on Sunday with a slight chance of showers late, high in the 50's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Serious Threat *** Conditions are favorable for pollen release today. Temperatures and humidities will be favorable for release by midday. Winds are moderate with stronger gusts. Pollen release is likely. HIGH RISK of exposure for residents of central OK, including the Oklahoma City metro area. Moderate Risk of exposure for north-central, northeast, and eastern OK later today and tonight... including the Tulsa metro area. Low Risk of exposure for other areas from this source. TK

 Trajectory Start(s) (shown by black star on map): Sulfur, Oklahoma

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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