University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

Metropolitan Area	Exposure Risk
Dallas / Ft. Worth	Moderate
Austin	Low / Moderate
San Antonio	Low / Moderate

Date Issued: 7 January 2001

Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional weather: Saturday/Sunday, January 6/7 - TX/OK/AR: Clear to partly cloudy today with no rain expected except far west TX. Warm today with highs in the 50's north to 70's south. Winds are light to moderate. A frontal system will be forming over the region tonight. Lows tonight in the 20's and 30's north and west to the 40's and 50's south and east. By Sunday.... most areas will be mostly cloudy, with a chance of rain mainly in southern and eastern TX. Cooler with highs in the 40's north to 60's south. Breezy to windy on Sunday.

Trajectory weather: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain or sprinkles, high in the 50's. Chance of light rain tonight, lows from the 30's inland Mexico to low 50's coast.

Trajectory confidence: High.

OUTLOOK: *** Low / Moderate Threat *** Mixed conditions for pollen release. Temperatures and winds will be favorable for release. Humidities will likely be high and may not drop until the afternoon. Still, the warm, windy conditions may be enough to produce some pollen release. Any ill effects due to release from this region will be concentrated in southern TX with the winds blowing in that direction. Low to Moderate Risk of exposure for south-central and southern TX, including the metro areas of Austin and San Antonio. TK

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX

Austin, TX

Junction, TX

San Angelo, TX

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

 Return to Forecasting Home Page

---