|
Metropolitan Area |
Exposure Risk |
|
Oklahoma City |
Moderate |
|
Tulsa |
Low |
|
St. Louis |
Low |
Date Issued: 9 January 2001
Mountain Cedar location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK
Regional weather: Tuesday, January 9 - TX/OK/AR: High pressure governs the region again today. The center of the High will move from the central Plains to the south and east during the course of the day.... and will be positioned over the mid/lower Mississippi River valley by evening. As the High shifts, winds which are initially light and variable will turn to the southeast. Winds in the western sections of the region will be from the southeast all day and blow stronger than for other areas. Highs in the 50's and 60's, lows in the 30's and 40's with some 50's south. Increasing cloudiness in the west and south as the next system approaches. This system will bring wet weather to much of the region on Wednesday.
Trajectory weather: Mostly sunny today, high in the low 50's. Becoming partly cloudy tonight, low in the low 30's. Partly cloudy Wednesday, high in the low 50's.
Trajectory confidence: High
OUTLOOK: *** Moderate Threat *** Recent observations indicate that pollen release has yet to reach its peak in this region. Conditions are mixed, mostly favorable for pollen release today. Temperatures and humidities will be favorable during the afternoon hours. Winds are initially light, becoming moderate during the afternoon. Moderate Risk of exposure for much of central and west-central OK today and this evening, including the metro area of Oklahoma City...... decreasing to Low Risk of exposure for residents of eastern Kansas and beyond later tonight and Wednesday. TK
Trajectory Start(s) (shown by black star on map): Sulfur, Oklahoma
Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.
Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu
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