University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Metropolitan Area

Exposure Risk

Dallas / Ft. Worth

Low

Austin

Low

San Antonio

Low

Date Issued: 10 January 2001

Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional weather: Wednesday, January 10 - TX/OK/AR: High pressure has moved off to the east. A low pressure disturbance fueled by strong upper-level energy is pounding TX this morning. Cloudy all but northwest AR today. Rain/showers will be moving north and east through the day. Precipitation will end in parts of west TX this evening but continue in other areas tonight. Highs ranging from the 40's to 60's, lows in the 30's and 40's with some 50's south. Clearing and warmer for much of the region on Thursday, though parts of eastern OK, eastern TX, and AR will remain unsettled.

Trajectory weather: Cloudy with rain/showers and possible thunderstorms today, high in the 40's. Rain likely tonight, low in the mid to upper 30's. Rain ending early Thursday with decreasing clouds during the afternoon. High in the 40's.

Trajectory confidence: High.

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** We are in the peak of the pollen release season. Conditions are unfavorable for pollen release today. Rain spread over the Plateau overnight and continues through this morning, drowning any possibility of release. Temperatures will near 50 in some spots. Winds are moderate to strong, but will not carry any airborne Mountain Cedar pollen. No release expected today, with Low Risk of exposure. TK

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX

Austin, TX

Junction, TX

San Angelo, TX

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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