Pollen Transport Forecast, 11 January 2001

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Metropolitan Area

Exposure Risk

Dallas / Ft. Worth

Low

Austin

Low

San Antonio

Low

Date Issued: 11 January 2001

Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional weather: Thursday, January 11 - TX/OK/AR: Weak high pressure moving into the region in the wake of the departing storm system. Clouds and/or fog over much of the region this morning. Becoming sunny to partly cloudy west and south, continued cloudy today north and east. Chance of precipitation this morning in the eastern sections, all day in AR. Highs mostly in the 40's to 60's, lows tonight mostly 30's and 40's. Some fog possible tonight, sunny to partly cloudy on Friday.

Trajectory weather: Becoming mostly sunny this afternoon, high in the 60's. Mostly clear tonight, low in the 30's. Increasing clouds on Friday, high in the 60's.

Trajectory confidence: High.

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** Unfavorable conditions for pollen release. Temperatures will be favorable much of the day. However, rain occurred over the entire mountain cedar growing region yesterday, some of it quite heavy. Humidities remain high at early afternoon. Winds are light. Since drying is required before release can occur..... very little to no release is expected today, with Low Risk of exposure to the populace. TK

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX

Austin, TX

Junction, TX

San Angelo, TX

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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