Pollen Forecast, 12 January 2001

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Metropolitan Area

Exposure Risk

Oklahoma City

Low

Tulsa

Low

St. Louis

Low

Date Issued: 12 January 2001

Mountain Cedar location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK

Regional weather: Friday, January 12 - TX/OK/AR: Weak high pressure over the region today will shift east as the next system approaches from the west. This frontal system will pass through the region on Saturday, triggering showers over most areas with the best chances to the north. Clearing later Saturday, clear to partly cloudy on Sunday. Low clouds and fog covering the eastern 2/3 of the region most of the day, rather than just half a day as thought earlier. High cloudiness invading the western sections this afternoon. Highs today and Sunday mostly in the 40's and 50's, 50's and 60's on Saturday. Lows ranging from the 30's to 50's tonight and Saturday night.

Trajectory weather: Cloudy with fog today, high in the low 40's. Cloudy with a chance of drizzle or freezing drizzle tonight, low in the low to mid 30's. Rain changing to snow likely on Saturday, temperatures falling into the 20's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** Conditions are unfavorable for pollen release today. Temperatures will stay too cool to support release and humidities will not drop below 90%. Showers are likely on Saturday as moist conditions continue. Sunday... rain the previous day with expected highs only in the 40's. No pollen release expected Friday through Sunday, with Low Risk of exposure. TK

 Trajectory Start(s) (shown by black star on map): Sulfur, Oklahoma

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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