University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional weather: Wednesday, January 17 - TX/OK/AR: Cloudy, murky, unsettled weather for today and Thursday. Ongoing precipitation this afternoon for much of TX. Precipitation has abated for parts of OK and west TX. Cloudy and cold for all areas, however. Rain (south and east) or snow (north and west) will continue for the next 24 hours with the intensity varying from location to location. Highs today 30's and 40's with some 50's south TX. Lows tonight mostly 20's and 30's.

Trajectory weather: Austin: Cloudy with a chance of drizzle or rain, high in the 40's. Rain or showers tonight, temps rising into the low 50's. Showers/thunderstorms likely on Thursday, tapering off in the afternoon, high in the 50's. Junction / San Angelo: Cloudy with fog/drizzle/light rain today, temperatures holding in the mid-30's. Rain changing to sleet or snow tonight, low near 30. Chance of snow Thursday, high in the 30's.

Trajectory confidence: High.

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** Very unfavorable conditions for pollen release. Temperatures will not move into the favorable range today. Moisture conditions are highly unfavorable across the Plateau. No release expected, with Low Risk of exposure. TK

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX

Austin, TX

Junction, TX

San Angelo, TX

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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