Pollen Transport Forecast, 30 January 2001

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Metropolitan Area

Exposure Risk

Dallas / Ft. Worth

Low

Austin

HIGH

San Antonio

HIGH

Houston

HIGH

Date Issued: 30 January 2001

Mountain Cedar location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional weather: Tuesday, January 30 - TX/OK/AR: Sunny to partly cloudy most areas except for far east. Warm with highs ranging from 40's to 60's. Windy most locations in the wake of the departing low pressure system. Breezy/windy on Wednesday also as high pressure builds in from the west. Lows tonight in the 20's to 40's. Cooler most areas on Wednesday.

Trajectory weather: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy today, high in the 60's. Partly cloudy tonight, lows in the 40's inland to low 50's off the coast. Mostly cloudy Wednesday, high in the 50's.

Trajectory confidence: High.

OUTLOOK: *** Serious Threat *** Very favorable conditions for pollen release. Temperatures are in the 50's and 60's by late morning. Humidities are already favorable in the west and are dropping toward the favorable range in the east. Winds are strong in the west, light to moderate in the east but they will be picking up strength by midday. Strong release expected. HIGH Risk of exposure for residents of a broad area of south-central TX this afternoon, including Austin and San Antonio. High Risk continues tonight for much of southeast TX and the TX coastal bend..... including the greater Houston metropolitan area. Residents of the coastal bend region and deep south TX.... particularly those near the coast.... will face at least a Moderate Risk of exposure on Wednesday. TK

Trajectory Start(s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX

Austin, TX

Junction, TX

San Angelo, TX

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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