University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast
Date Issued: 1 February 2001
Mountain Cedar location(s): Ozark Mountains, AR/MO
Regional weather: Thursday, February 1 - TX/OK/AR: High pressure over the region. Cold front will swing through the northern and eastern parts of the region later today and tonight. Only clouds associated with the frontal passage; no rain expected. However, moisture is seeping into deep south and southeast TX. Mostly cloudy there today and tonight with a chance of rain mainly in the coastal bend and deep south TX. Highs today and Friday in the 40's and 50's. Lows tonight 10's and 20's north, 30's and 40's south.
Trajectory weather: Partly cloudy with increasing cloudiness late today, high in the mid-40's. Mostly cloudy tonight turning partly cloudy well after midnight. Low in the upper 20's. Becoming mostly sunny on Friday, high in the low 50's.
Trajectory confidence: High
OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** Mixed, partially favorable conditions for pollen release today. Temperatures in the mid-40's for the afternoon hours, which are borderline or partially favorable at best. Humidities have been dropping slowly but will range from 40-50% during the afternoon, again, partially favorable. Winds are moderate, which favor release. Overall.... some release is possible today, though amounts should be light. Low Risk of exposure. Those persons living near the MO/AR state line are most likely to feel any ill effects. TK
Trajectory Start(s) (shown by black star on map): Oak Grove, AR
Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.
Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu
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