University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast
Date Issued: 3 February 2001
Mountain Cedar location(s): Ozark Mountains, AR/MO
Regional weather: Friday-Sunday, February 2-4 - TX/OK/AR: High pressure governing the weather during the next few days. Mostly cloudy today with a chance of rain in far south and southeast TX; clear to partly cloudy elsewhere. Dry weather region-wide Saturday and Sunday with a warming trend. Highs in the 40's and 50's today, 50's and 60's Saturday, 50's to 70's Sunday. Lows tonight from the 20's to 40's, mostly 30's and 40's Saturday night. Saturday update: current forecast on track. Dry cold front moving through the region tonight and Sunday, resulting in a few clouds and shifting winds.
Trajectory weather: Variably to mostly cloudy today, high in the low 50's. Chance of rain by this evening, changing to snow overnight, low in the mid-20's. Snow on Sunday, high near 30.
Trajectory confidence: High
OUTLOOK: *** Moderate Threat *** Mixed, mostly favorable conditions for pollen release today. Temperatures reaching the low 50's today near the source. Humidities are favorable at midday. Winds are moderate to strong. Some pollen release is expected. Moderate Risk of exposure along the I-44 corridor.... from southwest MO northeastward to the St. Louis metro area. Later this evening.... precipitation will reduce the exposure risk to Low for others along the forecast pathway. TK
Trajectory Start(s) (shown by black star on map): Oak Grove, AR
Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.
Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu
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