|
Metropolitan Area |
Exposure Risk |
|
Oklahoma City |
Moderate / High |
|
Tulsa |
Moderate / High |
|
St. Louis |
Moderate |
Date Issued: 3 February 2001
Mountain Cedar location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK
Regional weather: Friday-Sunday, February 2-4 - TX/OK/AR: High pressure governing the weather during the next few days. Mostly cloudy today with a chance of rain in far south and southeast TX; clear to partly cloudy elsewhere. Dry weather region-wide Saturday and Sunday with a warming trend. Highs in the 40's and 50's today, 50's and 60's Saturday, 50's to 70's Sunday. Lows tonight from the 20's to 40's, mostly 30's and 40's Saturday night. Saturday update: current forecast on track. Dry cold front moving through the region tonight and Sunday, resulting in a few clouds and shifting winds.
Trajectory weather: Mostly cloudy today and tonight, high in the upper 50's, low in the low 30's. Mostly cloudy with a chance of light rain Sunday, high in the 40's.
Trajectory confidence: High
OUTLOOK: *** Serious Threat *** Conditions are favorable for pollen release today. Temperatures and humidities are in the mid-50's and near 50%, respectively, at midday. Winds are moderate with stronger gusts. These conditions are as much or more favorable than any we have encountered this season. Pollen release likely. Moderate / High Risk of exposure for residents of central and eastern OK, including the residents of the Oklahoma City and Tulsa metropolitan areas. Low to Moderate Risk of exposure for those living in counties near the MO / AR border.... with Low Risk beyond. The St. Louis metro area may be affected by pollen release from the Ozark Mountain region. TK
Trajectory Start(s) (shown by black star on map): Sulfur, Oklahoma
Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.
Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu
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