Pollen Forecast, 4 February 2001

University of Tulsa
Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Metropolitan Area

Exposure Risk

Oklahoma City

Low

Tulsa

Low

St. Louis

Low

Date Issued: 4 February 2001

Mountain Cedar location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK

Regional weather: Friday-Sunday, February 2-4 - TX/OK/AR: High pressure governing the weather during the next few days. Mostly cloudy today with a chance of rain in far south and southeast TX; clear to partly cloudy elsewhere. Dry weather region-wide Saturday and Sunday with a warming trend. Highs in the 40's and 50's today, 50's and 60's Saturday, 50's to 70's Sunday. Lows tonight from the 20's to 40's, mostly 30's and 40's Saturday night. Saturday update: current forecast on track. Dry cold front moving through the region tonight and Sunday, resulting in a few clouds and shifting winds.

Trajectory weather: Mostly sunny today, high near 60. Clear tonight, low near 40. Mostly sunny Monday, high in the 60's.

Trajectory confidence: High

OUTLOOK: *** Moderate Threat *** Conditions are mixed, mostly favorable for pollen release today. Temperatures will reach the mid-50's near the source today. Humdities will be favorable by the afternoon. Winds are moderate. Some pollen release is expected. Moderate Risk of exposure for south-central OK, northeast TX. and portions of western LA through the next 24 to 36 hours. TK

 Trajectory Start(s) (shown by black star on map): Sulfur, Oklahoma

Prepared by: Thomas Keever (Department of Marine, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU), Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104), and C.E. Main (Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695-7618). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

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