The University of Tulsa

Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

 

Date Issued: 16 January 2004

 

Mountain Cedar Location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK

Regional Weather: Friday to Sunday, Jan 16 to 18. TX/OK: Rain possible throughout the region for the next couple of days. Scattered showers and thunderstorms likely on Friday. Friday night and Saturday will see a heavier band of rain move across Texas and Oklahoma. Temperatures will be mild with highs in the low 50s in Oklahoma and 60s in Texas. Lows tonight will drop very light with the heavy cloud cover. Mild temperatures will continue on Saturday, but a cold front will move across the area late Saturday afternoon and evening bringing strong wind from the north, northwest and colder temperatures for Sunday. Rain should move out of the area by late Saturday night or Sunday morning. again most areas. Highs on Sunday will be in the 40s in Oklahoma and 50s in Texas.

 

Trajectory weather: The air mass trajectories move from the Arbuckle Mountains to the north this afternoon then circle around western Oklahoma and north Texas as the next frontal system moves into the area on Saturday. At the source, winds are southerly this morning but rainy conditions will pervail throughout the area on Friday and Saturday. On Sunday temperatures will be cooler with highs only in the mid 40s and strong northerly winds.

 

OUTLOOK: *** Low to Moderate Threat Friday/ Low on Saturday and Sunday *** Mostly unfavorable conditions for pollen release. Temperatures are mild so there is a slight chance of some pollen release during dry periods on Friday. On Saturday rainy weather throughout the region should prevent pollen release and dispersal. Temperatures on Sunday will be in the 40s and barely reach the favorable range.

 

Trajectory Start (s) (shown by black star on map): Sulfur, OK.

Prepared by: Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

 

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

 

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