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The University of Tulsa

Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Metropolitan Area

Exposure Risk

Dallas/Fort Worth

Moderate

Austin

High

San Antonio

High

 

Date Issued: 19 January 2004

 

Mountain Cedar Location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

 

Regional Weather: Monday and Tuesday, Jan 19-20. TX/OK: The region will see cooler temperatures for the next few days under the influence of a cold Canadian air mass. Daytime highs will be in the upper 30s in Oklahoma and nighttime lows in the 20s. Highs in Texas will be in the 40s in the north and mid 50s in the south. Lows Monday night will be in the 20s. Monday will have clear to partly cloudy skies throughout the region and winds from the north, northeast this morning.. Winds will shift to southeasterly this afternoon and clouds will increase Tuesday with a chance of precipitation beginning late Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday. Any precipitation will be rain in the south, but there is a chance of snow or rain/snow mix in north Texas and Oklahoma.

 

Trajectory weather: The air mass trajectories show little movement early this afternoon then turn north and move over north Texas and Oklahoma as the winds shift to southeasterly. Conditions at the sources today will be in the 50s and dry with clear sunny skies. Tomorrow skies will be partly cloudy with temperatures warming to the 50s again after a cold night. Trajectories tomorrow move north into Oklahoma then turn east across Oklahoma and Arkansas.



OUTLOOK: *** High Threat *** Good conditions for pollen release.  Sunny skies with dry conditions and moderate winds result in good conditions for pollem release this afternoon even though morning temperatures were low. Tomorrow will also see good conditions for pollen release once temperatures warm from the morning lows.


Trajectory Start (s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX.

 

AUSTIN



JUNCTION



SAN ANGELO




Prepared by: Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

 

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

 

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