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The University of Tulsa

Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Metropolitan Area

Exposure Risk

Dallas/Fort Worth

Moderate to High

Austin

Moderate to High

San Antonio

Moderate to High

 

Date Issued: 28 January 2004

 

Mountain Cedar Location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

 

Regional Weather: Wednesday and Thursday, Jan 28-29. TX/OK: A brief warm-up on Wednesday followed by another cold front moving through the northern half of the region late Wednesday and Thursday. On Wednesday, high temperatures will be near 50 in Oklahoma with clear to partly cloudy skies and southerly winds 10 to 15 mph. In Texas highs today will be in the mid to upper 50s with partly to mostly cloudy skies and southerly winds. Lows tonight will be in the 20s in Oklahoma and from the lower 30s to the mid 40s in Texas. Highs tomorrow will be 10 to 15 degrees cooler in the north under the influence of the cold front. Winds will be from the north and skies will be clear to partly cloudy. By contrast, in central and southern Texas highs will be in the 60s with southerly winds. Skies will be cloudy with a chance of rain in some areas.

 

Trajectory weather: The air mass trajectories move from the Edwards Plateau to the north and then turn east across southeastern Kansas into Missouri. Sunny to partly cloudy skies will prevail across the region with mild temperatures and moderate winds. Trajectories for tomorrow show air masses moving around in central Texas under the influence of the cold front passing through the region. Chance of fog and rain in some areas tomorrow.


OUTLOOK: *** Moderate to High Threat *** Favorable conditions for pollen release. Sunny to partly cloudy and dry conditions will occur today across Texas. Moderate gusty winds will move pollen north over north Texas and Oklahoma. Some areas in south central Texas have a chance of rain tomorrow which may reduce pollen exposure. Air mass trajectories for tomorrow suggest pollen will remain local.


Trajectory Start (s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX.

 

AUSTIN



JUNCTION



SAN ANGELO




Prepared by: Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

 

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

 

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