The University of Tulsa

Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

Metropolitan Area

Exposure Risk

Dallas/Fort Worth

Mixed Conditions: Moderate to High

Austin

Mixed Conditions: Moderate to High

San Antonio

Mixed Conditions: Moderate to High

 

Date Issued: 19 January 2005


Mountain Cedar Location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas


Regional Weather: Monday and Tuesday, Jan 10 and 11. TX/OK: Warm temperatures will continue across the region for the next few days although northen Oklahoma will be cooler than the rest of the region especially on Tuesday as a new cold front begins moving into the state. Moist air from the south will increase chances for rain by mid-week. Day time highs in Oklahoma will be in the 60s on Monday and range from the 40s to the 60s on Tuesday. Day time highs both days will be in the 70s in Texas. Skies will be partly to mostly clousy with patchy fog and winds from the south.


Trajectory weather: The air mass trajectories from the Edwards Plateau move to the northeast over Oklahoma and Missouri. Temperatures will be in the 70s with partly to mostly clousy skies across the Plateau. Patchy dense fog and mist should clear by mid-day. Night time lows in the 50s and 60s and highs in the 70s again on Tuesday.


OUTLOOK: *** Moderate to High Threat *** Mixed conditions for pollen release due to scattered areas mist and fog. Since the trees are near their peak release period significant amounts of pollen release might be expected in drier areas and after the fog lifts. As a result High Threat continues in areas that remain dry with Moderate Threat in areas with mist.


Trajectory Start (s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX.


AUSTIN



JUNCTION



SAN ANGELO




Prepared by: Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

 

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

 

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