The University of Tulsa

Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 3 January 2005

Mountain Cedar Location(s): Edwards Plateau, Texas

Regional Weather: Monday and Tuesday, Jan 3 and 4. TX/OK: Mild temperatures continue in the region on Monday along with scattered showers and thuderstorms. Rain will be heavy in some areas with chance of flooding. Patchy fog will also occur. Daytimes highls on Monday will be in the upper 50s in Oklhoma and in the 70s in Texas. Tuesday's highs will be in the mid 40s to mid 50s in Oklahoma and 60s and 70s in Texas.

Trajectory weather: The air mass trajectories from the Edwards Plateau move to the north and northeast. Temperatures are mild across the plateau but scattered showeres and thunderstorms are likely in the area. The trees are nearing the peak of the pollen release season; therefore, pollen release may occur in areas that stay dry over the next few days.

OUTLOOK: *** Mixed conditions for pollen release *** The likelihood of scattered showers and thunderstorms in the region results in mixed conditions for pollen release in Texas. Since the trees are nearing their peak release period significant amounts of pollen release might be expected in areas that remain dry. As a result High Threat continues in areas that remain dry with a Low to Moderate Threat in areas with rain.

Trajectory Start (s) (shown by * on map): Austin, TX; Junction, TX; San Angelo, TX.

AUSTIN

JUNCTION

SAN ANGELO

Prepared by: Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

 

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

 

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