The University of Tulsa

Mountain Cedar Pollen Forecast

 

Date Issued: 31 Jan 2005

Mountain Cedar Location(s): Arbuckle Mountains, OK

Regional Weather: Monday and Tuesday, Jan 31 and Feb 1. TX/OK: Cool wet conditions continue in the southern plains for the next couple of day. Daytime highs both days will be in the upper 30s in northern half of Oklahoma and the 40s in southern Oklahoma and Texas. Skies will be clousy with patchy fog and low to moderate winds from the north.Rain is likely both Monday and Tuesday especially in Texas.

 

Trajectory weather: The air mass trajectories move from the Arbuckle Mountains to the south over central Texas on northerly winds both Monday and Tuesday. The trajectories show less than ideal characteristics for entrainment and travel of pollen downwind. Low temperatures and cloudy skies will prevail across the region. Highs on Monday and Tuesday in the upper 30s and low 40s.

OUTLOOK: *** Low Threat *** unfavorable conditions for pollen release. Cloudy skies and low temperatures will reduce the chance of any significant pollen release making for unfavorable conditions. In addition it is past the peak for mountain cedar pollen and poor atmospheric conditions exist for pollen entrainment With cold, wet conditions little release is expected and therefore a Low threat exists.

Trajectory Start (s) (shown by black star on map): Sulfur, OK.

Prepared by: Estelle Levetin (Faculty of Biological Science, The University of Tulsa, 600 S. College, Tulsa, OK 74104). This forecast gives the anticipated future track of released Mountain Cedar pollen, weather conditions over the region and along the forecast pathway, and an estimated time of arrival for various metropolitan areas.

 

Questions: Aerobiology Lab e-mail: pollen@utulsa.edu

 

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